A couple of months ago I wrote a post about my disbelief at Tim Ireland’s plans for bloggerheads to back blair. It later became apparent that this was a wind-up, and a few days ago we found out what it was really all about with the launch of Backing Blair. This is a campaign aiming to inflict upon Blair the comeuppance that he has hitherto avoided for his deceptions over Iraq and his right-wing leanings, in the form of a large anti-labour protest vote at the general election. And it seems to have the labour campaign worried.

But it’s not as simple as all that. In order to really make all those Blair appeasing Labour MPs quake in their boots, they want people to vote for whichever candidate is most likely to beat the Labour candidate, regardless of petty considerations such as, well, anything else. This might mean voting for a bigoted, pro-war tory, rather than an anti-war, anti-Blair labour MP. Here’s the justification:
Labour candidates need to know what Blair’s ongoing leadership has/will/may cost them. We want survivors of the protest vote to come away determined to unseat Blair.
And we couldn’t give a toss about the performance of an MP regarding their service to the local community. The invasion of a country that presents no threat to us on the basis of thin and politically-influenced intelligence sets a dangerous precedent that threatens us all. The same goes for detaining people without trial. Domestic issues pale into insignificance next to such things, I’m afraid.
So, “do I agree?”, I ask myself (because nobody else knows or cares what I think). Well, here’s the way I see it:
- The prime minister has lied to the electorate in order to go to war against a country that wasn’t a threat, without UN approval, leading to the deaths of thousands of Iraqi civilians. Legally speaking, Tony Blair has commited the war-crime of aggression. Morally speaking, he is a dangerous, delusional, self-righteous, manipulative git. (When I look at that old New Labour, New Danger ad now it seems eerily prescient). I cannot vote for a Labour party headed by Blair under any circumstances.
- The possibility of the Tories winning this election is negligible
- The first past the post electoral system is undemocratic. A vote for a left-wing anti-war party in my constituency will increase the chance of a party even more pro-war and even more right-wing than labour (the conservatives) representing me in the commons.
- Rather than trying to change it, Labour are actually exploiting the undemocratic nature of the system to their advantage, with their “vote Lib Dem, wake up with a Tory” message. If Labour are going to encourage tactical voting, I should vote tactically in order to combat them.
- A reduced Labour majority, even at the expense of more tory MPs, will make any politician think twice about abusing the trust of the british people in the future. It will also actually hand more power to the liberal democrats, and in the best case scenario could result in a hung parliament with the liberals (the largest anti-war party) holding the balance of power.
So it seems that I think people should be prepared to vote lib dem, green, respect, or whatever in labour/conservative marginals, and accept the possibility of a tories winning some of those seats in exchange for a more powerful Liberal Democrat party (who, incidentally, are also committed to democratic reforms that will make this sort of decision unnecessary in the future) and the chance to give the labour party a good kicking for its support/appeasement of Blair.
But then why not take that argument to its logical conclusion? The simple mathematics of the system means that voting conservative in these constituencies has double the effect of voting for an anti-war party, if the aim is to punish labour and reward the lib dems.
I’ll have to think a bit more about anti-war, anti-blair labour MPs, and tory constituencies in which the lib dems or other non-labour parties are challenging, but I think I might just have talked myself into backing Backing Blair.
Sheesh, this democracy lark isn’t easy.